2019 AFL Grand Final Preview - Tigers to make it two flags in three years

The Tigers will look to gain redemption for last year's preliminary final capitulation.
Tom Lynch
Tom Lynch was dominant on Friday night (Getty Images)

2019 AFL Grand Final Preview, Betting Predictions & Tips

It is a tale of two vastly different teams in the 2019 AFL Grand Final.

Richmond is playing in their second Grand Final in three years while GWS is squaring off in their first-ever premiership decider.

Both teams had tough, gritty wins in the Preliminary Final. Richmond came from 21 points down to beat the minor premiers Geelong. GWS grimly saw off a fast-finishing Collingwood at the MCG in one of the greatest preliminary final upsets of the modern era. 

It should be a close Grand Final, but we’re backing Richmond to win between 1-39 points. 

Richmond Team News

It will be a nervous wait in regards to selection at the Tigers this week. 

Inside midfielder Jack Graham dislocated his shoulder in the Preliminary Final and looks likely to miss, while Nathan Broad could potentially miss after sustaining a concussion in the victory.

Jack Ross looks likely to replace Graham in what will be just his seventh AFL game, while Kamdyn McIntosh will be on standby for Nathan Broad. 

GWS Team News

The Giants will likely welcome back a number of key players for Saturday's decider.

Toby Greene will come back from his one match suspension, while Lachie Whitfield who missed the Preliminary Final with appendicitis should be fit to play.

Stephen Coniglio is an outside chance to return to the line up after missing two months with a knee injury. 

Club captain Phil Davis will need to prove his fitness after suffering multiple injuries throughout Saturday's win. Bobby Hill and Adam Tomlison are likely omissions if multiple players are fit to come back into the side.

Richmond vs GWS Head To Head

Richmond and GWS have played 12 times with Tigers holding a 8-4 advantage. 

Richmond have won three of their last five against the Giants, including the 2017 Preliminary Final win which allowed the Tigers to break their premiership drought.

Richmond vs GWS Match Up

The match up between the Giants forwards and the Tigers defenders will decide the game in many ways. 

Jeremy Cameron, Harrison Himmelberg and Jeremy Finlayson have been fantastic throughout this finals series combining for eighteen goals.
 
The Tigers defence has been the best for the last three years, but could this be the day where they miss Alex Rance? 

David Asbury and Dylan Grimes will both battle and could even win against Cameron and Finlayson but the likes of Vlastuin and Broad will have massive roles to play. 

Add Toby Greene into the GWS forwards mix and the Tiger backs will have their work cut out for them on Saturday.

Richmond vs GWS Key Statistics

  • Richmond has won eleven games in a row and haven’t lost since the mid-season bye
  • Richmond has won twelve out of a possible fourteen games at the MCG this season 
  • GWS ranks 2nd in marks per game this year
  • GWS ranks 1st in clearances per game this season

Verdict

Richmond has been a better team than GWS all season and will prove it on Saturday afternoon.
 
It will be a hard fought game but the Tigers having played one less game over the course of this month will ensure they have more in the tank to overrun the Giants in the second half.

Tom Lynch will continue his stellar finals series with the first goal in the Grand Final.

Winning Margin: Richmond (1-39 Points) @ 1.95 at Beteasy - 10 Units
First Goal Scorer: Tom Lynch @ 7.50 at Ladbrokes Australia - 2 Units

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Betting Slip | 28 Sep 2019

Richmond v Greater Western Sydney

Winning Margin

Bet 10 Win 19.50
Richmond (1-39 Points)

First Goal Scorer

Bet 2 Win 15.00
Tom Lynch
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